RLB reports mixed short-term outlook for Scottish construction sector

Independent construction and property management consultancy Rider Levett Bucknall (RLB UK) has reported a mixed short-term outlook for Scotland’s construction market, with education, residential and infrastructure showing growth while healthcare is constrained by a lack of investment.
According to the Construction Market Intelligence Q3 report, Edinburgh remains a focal point of activity with major schemes progressing, including Leamington Square, New Town Quarter, and the redevelopment of iconic buildings such as the former Jenners Department Store and Granton Station.
Scotland’s construction pipeline continues to be robust, led by strong opportunities in the education, residential and infrastructure sectors. The residential sector is busy with headline developments including Western Villages in Edinburgh, set to become Scotland’s largest operational net zero housing development. Timber-framed residential remains a key delivery focus.
Projects are increasingly aligning to sustainability and net zero principles. Cerulean Winds’ UK offshore renewables grid includes the 1GW Aspen project, one of the world’s largest offshore wind farms in the North Sea and the Ardersier Energy Transition Facility in Scotland. The Eastern Green Link 2, a 505km subsea electricity superhighway, will enable power transfer between Scotland to England.
Significant public sector investment is flowing, with rising demand for high-quality, modern commercial and industrial spaces.
Contractors in Scotland are actively pricing projects up to around the value of £5 million, with declining interest in tier one contractors above that value. Views on single-stage tendering remain mixed with some contractors open to it, while others continuing to avoid it all together.
Tender prices are forecast to rise broadly in line with general inflation over the next 12 months, steady increases rather than the sharp uplifts seen in recent years. This contrasts with the wider UK picture, where softer order books are driving tighter, more competitive bidding and increasing downstream delivery risk.
Construction input costs in Scotland rose by an average of 4.65% YOY to Q2 2025 and 1.25% on the quarter. The recent National Insurance contributions rise has not yet translated into a spike in labour costs, easing earlier concerns.
Costs for timber, cladding, insulation, and metal-based and cement-based products have increased, though trends vary by package and specification.
Martin McConnell, partner, RLB Scotland, said: “The sector will welcome further Scottish Government initiatives that support the industry, particularly around public procurement, sustainable business practices cand closing the skills gaps, which remain a key challenge. With strong pipelines in education, residential and infrastructure, a focus on net zero delivery, and pragmatic procurement strategies, Scotland is well placed to sustain construction activity into 2025.”